Long Trade set-up on USDCHF Hourly chart.

With support of the Daily and H4 charts, we currently have a possible Long trade setup on the USDCHF pair.

The Hourly chart above is currently forming a tradable pattern. Price seems to have topped temporarily @ 1.0370. Hence, we expect price to retrace to the area between 1.0329 and 1.0288 (which is the area between the 50% and 100% fib. retracement levels – drawn from the most recent Hourly swing low to the current price-top). Let’s seek to buy around this area. If price exceeds the 1.0288 level downward, our bullish bias is no more valid and we enter a no-trading zone. Our primary profit target is @ 1.0392 (the 127% fib. ext.).

Also, if price breaks above 1.0370 (current price-top) before retracing to the buy-area, we’ll have to redraw our Fibonacci tools using a new top & the most recent Hourly swing low to determine new potential areas to buy.

The 15min. chart above gives us a clearer view of the Hourly price action and the potential areas to buy (please note it’s advisable to set a Limit order ahead of time as price could move down to these level and reverse sharply in our favor)
This chart is rather cluttered but if we look closely, there are a number of potential reversal levels available. You choose your preferred level based on your personality.

fib 50.8% ret. @ 1.0329
fib 61.8% ret. @ 1.0319;
fib 78.6% ret. @ 1.0306.

Personally, based on the broken most-recent Hourly swing high @ 1.0311, which I believe is a potentially strong reversal level, I would be going for the 78.6% ret.

Initial Stop Loss @ 1.0286; primary Profit target @ 1.0390 (Please remember to factor in your broker’s pip-spread).

Please note that all these Fibonacci (fib.) levels have other pivots, overlapping fibs or previous highs/lows supporting them (they are the cause of this cluttered chart). As such, price could reverse at any of the points. The issue here is that the deeper the fib level you choose to buy from, the smaller the pips you’ll risk and the more your pip-profit; BUT, also the more the likelihood of you missing the trade as price might not retrace that deep before moving back upward.
You need your own discretion here.

Please keep your risk low. Don’t risk more than 2% of your capital. Personally, I risk about 0.5% per trade; and each trade has a potential profit target of 1% or more – based on my exit levels.
We MUST NEVER assume we KNOW where price is going next!

P.S.:
Similar Short trade set-up is forming on the EURUSD pair.
Also, always keep in mind any major news releases. Be wary of possible price volatility during these periods.