Dear fellow traders,

I won’t be posting the usual daily analysis for some time. Sorry for any inconvenience caused, and thanks for making this thread a valuable one.

Today on EURUSD – Daily and H4 charts support Short trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, we would observe price is still within the downward or bearish channel, and there is the likelihood that price would attempt to find its way down toward the lower edge of the channel – especially when we consider the fact that price is in a very strong longer term bearish trend. From a day-trade perspective, our bias favors the bears, and price break below the previous day’s low @ 1.3459 (not highlighted) earlier today gives more credence to the bias.
However, price is around the most recent Daily swing low @ 1.3450 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line), and it seems the bears are currently struggling to break decisively below the support level. It would be preferable to wait for the close of today’s candle to be surer of where price might be heading next.

On the H4 chart above, price has breached the most recent swing low @ 1.3459 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line) downward. That automatically sustains our bias in favor of a downward price move. However, to buttress the support hurdle the bears are contending with around the 1.3450 level, which we discussed on the Daily chart, price is struggling to break decisively below the most recent H4 swing low @ 1.3459 that we just mentioned above.
In all, our Daily bias still favors the bears, but we need to be very cautious if we attempt to seek Short trade setups, today, on this currency pair.
The white horizontal line @ 1.3653 highlights the most recent swing high, and as long as price stays below it – in the absence of any new and lower swing high – our bearish or downward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important resistance levels – to seek promising areas to take our Short positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming lower highs and lower lows. Please note that our aim is to sell a rally in today’s down-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDJPY – Daily and H4 charts support Short trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, for the past one week, price has been trending southward – in agreement with the longer term down trend. Yesterday, price decisively broke below the lower edge of the symmetrical triangle as the trading day ended with a strong bear-bodied candle. As a result, that strengthened the notion that the longer term bearish trend has probably resumed. From a day-trade perspective, our bearish bias remains intact.
However, there are two critical support levels that we expect price to break below for us to be more confident that the overall bearish trend has resumed: the first is the usual previous day’s low, which, in the case of this currency pair today, is @ 88.79 (not highlighted), and the most recent Daily swing low @ 88.58 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line). For more conservative traders, it’s advisable to avoid seeking Hourly Short trade setups – supported by the H4 chart – till the coast is clear.

On the H4 chart above, price broke, at that time, the most recent swing low @ 89.91 (which we’ve highlighted using the upper blue broken line) downward. That automatically sustained our bias in favor of a downward price move. As discussed on the Daily chart, to be convinced of the bears’ readiness to continue their activity, especially for more conservative traders, it’s preferable to see price break below the most recent swing low – also the previous day’s low @ 88.79 (which we’ve highlighted using the lower blue broken line).
The white horizontal line @ 90.35 highlights the most recent swing high, and as long as price stays below it – in the absence of any new and lower swing high – our bearish or downward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important resistance levels – to seek promising areas to take our Short positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming lower highs and lower lows. Please note that our aim is to sell a rally in today’s down-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDCHF – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades, but...

On the Daily chart above, yesterday, we anticipated a continued bullish move, but, virtually throughout the earlier trading hours, the bears caused an upset as price swooned. Although our bias, yesterday, from a day-trade perspective was bullish, traders following the analyses on this thread were probably shielded from the sudden price collapse since price didn’t break above the Tuesday’s high (which, yesterday, was a previous day’s high) @ 1.0847.
Toward the close of yesterday’s trading hours, the bulls regained their momentum – forcing the bears to give up most of their sudden gains. In continuation of the bulls’ resurgence, early price action today has seen the break of both Tuesday’s high and yesterday’s high @ 1.0847 and 1.0841, respectively. Consequently, our bullish bias remains, with the critical resistance level – the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.0897 (which we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line) – still in focus.

On the H4 chart above, price has broken the most recent swing high @ 1.0847 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line) upward. That sustains our bias in favor of an upward price move. Again, while seeking Long trade setups on the Hourly chart, let’s keep in mind the 1.0897 resistance level, which we discussed on the Daily chart.
The green horizontal line @ 1.0737 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDCHF – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades, but...

On the Daily chart above, yesterday, the lower edge of the upward or bullish channel eventually proved an insurmountable hurdle for the bears as the initial price-rally was sustained. Consequently, our trading bias, from a day-trade perspective, has again shifted to favor the bulls. However, for us to be convinced of the bulls’ readiness to push price further today, we would like to see the break above the previous day’s high @ 1.0847 (not highlighted).
In case price breaks above the 1.0847 level, we should expect further unhindered bullish action toward the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.0897 (which we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line).

On the H4 chart above, price broke, at that time, the most recent swing high @ 1.0787 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) upward. That shifted our bias in favor of an upward price move. However, in line with what was discussed on the Daily chart, the most recent swing high – also the previous day’s high @ 1.0847 (which we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line) is a crucial resistance level we would like to see broken for us to be more confident of the bulls’ resolve to sustain their activity.
The green horizontal line @ 1.0713 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDCHF – Would the lower edge of the bullish channel hold?

On the Daily chart above, in line with what we discussed yesterday, earlier today, price moved further downward toward the lower edge of the upward or bullish channel – breaking the previous day’s low @ 1.0738 (not highlighted) in the process. At the moment, the channel’s lower edge is doing a good job of providing strong support as the bears seem unable to break below it. From a day-trade perspective, our bias is still reluctantly in favor of the bears, but current price actions are telling to be wary of seeking Short trade setups until the coast is clear. Consequently, it’s advisable for us to exercise patience on this currency pair – probably throughout today.

On the H4 chart above, price has breached the most recent swing low – also the previous day’s low @ 1.0738 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line) downward. That automatically sustains our bias in favor of a downward price move. However, we could notice the proximity of price to the lower edge of the bullish channel, which we discussed on the Daily chart, and how it’s reacting to the lower edge. It’s quite obvious the bears aren’t having a field day. Again, as advised on the Daily chart, it’s better to abstain from trading this pair until the coast is clear.
In all, technically speaking, our day-trade bias still supports the bears – albeit reluctantly.
The white horizontal line @ 1.0787 highlights the most recent swing high, and as long as price stays below it – in the absence of any new and lower swing high – our bearish or downward bias remains intact.

Today on USDCHF – Daily and H4 charts support Short trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, we would observe that on Friday, last week, price hit the upper edge of the upward or bullish channel, and on the same day, it reversed sharply to close as a strong bear-bodied candle. That was a convincing sign that the bulls weren’t prepared to disregard the upper boundary of the bullish channel just yet. Further supporting the possibility of a bearish move toward the lower part of the bullish channel is earlier price action today, which resulted in the break of the previous trading day’s low – Friday’s low @ 1.0747 (not highlighted). Consequently, from a day-trade perspective, our bias has shifted in favor of the bears.
However, considering price’s proximity to the lower edge of the bullish channel (currently about 50pips away), there’s the need for us to be cautious as we seek Short trade opportunities – especially when we also consider that the USD/CHF currency pair is currently within a medium term bullish trend.

On the H4 chart above, price has breached the most recent swing low @ 1.0746 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line) downward. That automatically shifts our bias in favor of a downward price move. However, we could notice price is yet to break decisively below the 1.0746 support level, and the last fully formed H4 candle completed the formation of a quasi-reversal candle pattern around the same support level. Hence, we have a sign suggesting a possible bullish retracement.
In all, while our day-trade bias supports the bears, we should be conscious of the contradictory signals.
The white horizontal line @ 1.0897 highlights the most recent swing high, and as long as price stays below it – in the absence of any new and lower swing high – our bearish or downward bias remains intact.

However, in case of a clearer coast, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important resistance levels – to seek promising areas to take our Short positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming lower highs and lower lows. Please note that our aim is to sell a rally in today’s down-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDJPY – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades.

On the Daily chart above, yesterday, the bulls continued their activity in a very determined manner: after the break of Wednesday’s high @ 91.36 (not highlighted), which resulted in a clear break above the most recent Daily swing high @ 91.26 (that we've highlighted using the blue broken line), as anticipated, price continued its upward movement. Also, early market action today has seen price break above the previous day’s high @ 92.03 (also not highlighted). Consequently, from a day-trade perspective, our bias remains bullish. The next important resistance area we should be monitoring is the upper edge of the symmetrical triangle.
Today, the coast seems relatively clear enough for us to seek Hourly Long trade setups – supported by the H4 chart.

On the H4 chart above, price has broken the most recent Daily swing high @ 91.36 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line) upward. That sustains our bias in favor of an upward price move.
The green horizontal line @ 90.55 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDJPY – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, as expected yesterday, price continued moving upward to pause around the most recent Daily swing high @ 91.26 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line). If the 91.26 level happens to be a strong resistance area, we might see the bears forcing price to resume its longer term bearish trend. From a day-trade perspective however, our bias remains in support of the bulls – until we have enough reasons to change our view.
For now, all we know is: as a result of yesterday’s price activity, the previous day’s candle closed as a very strong bullish candle – breaching the 91.26 resistance level in the process. That suggested to us that the bulls probably have enough momentum to push price further upward. However, since price is yet to break decisively above the 91.26 level, to be convinced of a continued bullish move today, we would prefer to see price-break above the previous day’s high @ 91.36 (not highlighted) before seeking our Hourly long trade setups – supported by the H4 chart.

On the H4 chart above, yesterday, price broke the most recent swing high @ 90.50 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) upward. That shifted our bias in favor of an upward price move. Again, as with yesterday, we could observe price reaction to the critical resistance level @ 91.26 (that we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line), which we discussed on the Daily chart. Currently, we are seeing signs of a possible bearish move, which might end up becoming a major move – considering the longer term bearish scenario on higher time frame charts. Please let’s keep the level in mind.
The green horizontal line @ 90.14 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDJPY – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades.

On the Daily chart above, given the time of this posting, it’s not unexpected that traders have already made some decisive moves regarding the direction in which price would go; however, we should still expect more decisions to be made before today’s trading hours close. On the USDJPY, we would observe the bulls are resolved to hold on to their reign despite the pro-bears signals we identified yesterday. Earlier price action today saw price moving decisively above the upper edge of the downward or bearish channel – breaking in the process the previous day’s high @ 90.50 (not highlighted). That suggested to us the bulls now have enough drive to push further northward, at least toward the most recent Daily swing high @ 91.26 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line).

On the H4 chart above, price has broken the most recent swing high @ 90.50 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) upward. That again shifts our bias in favor of an upward price move. We could observe the critical resistance level @ 91.26 (that we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line), which we discussed on the Daily chart. Please let’s keep the level in mind.
The green horizontal line @ 89.70 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDJPY – Daily and H4 charts support Short trades.

On the Daily chart above, we would observe traders have been struggling to make a decisive move on the USDJPY pair since late last week when price hit the upper edge of the downward or bearish channel. By the end of yesterday, we had a sign suggesting the channel’s upper edge, as a resistance area, would probably aid the bears to resume their southward journey: yesterday’s candle closed within Friday’s candle – forming a reversal candle pattern (an “inside candle”) in the process, and, as earlier said, that gave us an indication that the bears might resume their activities. In addition, today’s price action has seen the break of yesterday’s low @ 89.90 (not highlighted).
From a day-trade perspective, our bias has shifted in favor of the bears. Although, the market is relatively sluggish at the moment, the coast seems relatively clear for us to seek Hourly Short trade setups – supported by the H4 chart.

On the H4 chart above, price has broken the most recent swing low – also yesterday’s low @ 89.90 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line) downward. That automatically shifts our bias in favor of a downward price move. We could observe, more clearly, price reaction at the upper edge of the bearish channel, which we discussed on the Daily chart: it suggests the resistance-strength the bulls are contending with around the area.
Also, we could observe the lull-mode the pair has been since yesterday. There’s the possibility of a big break toward either side, but, as earlier said, from a day-trade perspective, our bias is in favor of the bears.
The white horizontal line @ 90.09 highlights the most recent swing high, and as long as price stays below it – in the absence of any new and lower swing high – our bearish or downward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important resistance levels – to seek promising areas to take our Short positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming lower highs and lower lows. Please note that our aim is to sell a rally in today’s down-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on GBPUSD – Would the range trading on this currency pair continue?

On the Daily chart above, we could observe the GBPUSD pair settled into range trading throughout last week. Price hit the lower edge of the downward or bearish channel only to get stalled as the bulls were unable to garner enough momentum to send price back toward the upper edge of the channel. Currently, price is stuck between the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.5763 (which we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line) – on the upper side – and a support confluence of the channel’s lower edge and the year-low @ 1.5533 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) – on the lower side.
Consequently, while our day-trade bias leans toward the bulls, we need a clear break above the 1.5763 level to be convinced of the bulls’ resolve to push price northward.
Also, today is a Bank Holiday in the US, so let’s keep in mind the possibility of thin volume in U.S. trade.

On the H4 chart above, price is yet to break the most recent swing high @ 1.5707 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line) upward. That buttresses our view that traders are currently indecisive on whether to react to the critical support confluence discussed on the Daily chart and push price northward or succumb to the lingering bearish pressure and continue southward. In all, as also mentioned on the Daily chart, our day-trade bias reluctantly favors the bulls; but we need further confirmation to be more convinced of the bullish retracement.
The green horizontal line @ 1.5579 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, in case of a clearer coast, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows.

Today on USDJPY – Would the bulls break the bearish channel?

On the Daily chart above, we would observe price is still trapped within the downward or bearish channel, which we started observing since the early weeks of this year, 2010. Currently, in an overall bearish trend, the bulls are attempting to break decisively above the channel. Supporting the possibility of the bulls escaping the channel is the recent price-break above the previous day’s high @ 90.13 (not highlighted). However, it’s rather too early to conclude the bulls have finally broken through as the resistance pressure around the upper edge of the bearish channel might eventually subdue them before the close of today’s (also this week’s) trading hours.
From a day-trade perspective, our bias is bullish, but, based on the analysis above, more conservative traders might prefer to stay off this pair till next week. Less conservative traders might still be able to rely on the H4 price action to make their decisions on whether to seek Long trade setups on the Hourly charts or not.

On the H4 chart above, price has broken the most recent swing high – also yesterday’s high @ 90.13 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line) upward. That sustains our bias in favor of an upward price move. However, on the H4 chart, we could also observe more clearly price action around the bearish channel discussed on the Daily chart. Price, at the moment, is probably within a resistance-area, hence, there’s the need to be cautious. Again, while less aggressive traders might have to wait till next week to trade this currency pair, more aggressive traders might only wait for a clear H4 candle-close above the resistance confluence of the 90.13 level and the upper edge of the bearish channel.
The green horizontal line @ 89.56 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, in case we have a clearer coast, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDCHF – What next on this Currency Pair?

On the Daily chart above, earlier this week, on Tuesday, we anticipated a bearish retracement on this currency pair as we observed a reversal candle pattern, an “inside candle” at the upper edge of the upward or bullish channel. We also concluded that the bearish retracement might end up being a shallow one if the critical support level – the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.0641 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) proves to be an insurmountable hurdle for the bears; and currently, the 1.0641 support is proving to be just that: an “insurmountable hurdle.” Since the late trading hours on Tuesday, price has tested and re-tested the 1.0641 level in an attempt to break decisively below it, but, up till now, it’s still an unfortunate story for the bears.
From, a day-trade perspective, our bias is reluctantly aligning with the longer term bullish trend because a couple of resistance levels still need to be broken for us to be fully convinced of the bulls readiness to resume their dominance. The hurdles include yesterday’s high @ 1.0720 (not highlighted), and the potential resistance confluence of the upper edge of channel and the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.0794 (which we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line).

On the H4 chart above, we could observe that price is yet to break above the most recent swing high – also yesterday’s high @ 1.0720 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) upward. That buttresses our position that the bulls are yet to fully resume their activity. Hence, in line with what we discussed on the Daily chart, we would like to see the bulls break above the 1.0720 level.
The green horizontal line @ 1.0617 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, in case we have a clearer coast, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on GBPUSD – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, we had a relatively strong signal on Monday that the bears might be suspending their onslaught as Monday’s trading hours closed as a strong “Doji” (a strong reversal candle pattern) around the lower edge of a downward or bearish channel. Virtually throughout yesterday, Tuesday, the bulls were fully in control and they held on to their gains as yesterday’s candle closed as a strong bull-candle. From a day-trade perspective, our bias has shifted in favor of the bulls and we expect price to continue its upward move toward the important resistance level – the most recent Daily swing low @ 1.5849 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line).
However, to be more convinced of the bulls’ readiness to keep on challenging the overall bears’ dominance, we would like to see price break above the previous day’s high @ 1.5746 (not highlighted).

On the H4 chart above, price broke, at that time, the most recent swing high @ 1.5659 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) upward. That shifted our bias in favor of an upward price move. However, as mentioned on the Daily chart, before seeking Hourly Long trade setups, we would prefer to see price break above the most recent swing high – also yesterday’s high @ 1.5746 (which we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line).
The green horizontal line @ 1.5561 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDCHF – Daily and H4 charts support Short trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, yesterday, we discussed the possibility of a bearish retracement based on a couple of price actions that were unfolding. By the close of yesterday’s trading hours, it became more obvious that the bears were prepared to take over as yesterday’s candle closed as a bear-candle – though not a strong one. Furthermore, yesterday’s price activity, in relation to Friday’s, resulted in an “inside-candle” reversal candle pattern: a significant reversal indicator since it occurred at the upper edge of an upward or bullish channel, after a steep bullish trend. To further compound issues for the bulls, current price action has seen price break below previous day’s low @ 1.0682 (not highlighted). Consequently, from a day-trade perspective, our bias has turned bearish.
However, there’s a critical support level we have to be conscious of as we seek our daily Short trade set ups on the Hourly chart – supported by the H4 chart: the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.0641 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line).

On the H4 chart above, price has breached the most recent swing low @ 1.0682 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line) downward. That automatically shifts our bias in favor of a downward price move. However, we could observe that, though price broke below the 1.0682 support level, which is “acting” a dual role as the most recent H4 swing low and the previous day’s low, price is yet to break decisively below it (the 1.0682 level). It would be preferable to see an H4 candle close below this support level to more convinced of a further bearish retracement.
The white horizontal line @ 1.0794 highlights the most recent swing high, and as long as price stays below it – in the absence of any new and lower swing high – our bearish or downward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important resistance levels – to seek promising areas to take our Short positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming lower highs and lower lows. Please note that our aim is to sell a rally in today’s down-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on USDCHF – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, we still have a scenario similar to the one discussed last trading day – on Friday, last week. The steep uptrend observed is still intact as Friday’s price action showed the bulls reacted to the upper edge of the upward or bullish channel but still held on as Friday’s candle closed as quasi bullish candle. From a day trade perspective, our bias still remains bullish.
However, a couple of current price actions today show the bearish retracement is still a possibility: The bulls, at the moment, seem unwilling to push further and break above the previous trading day’s high – Friday’s high @ 1.0794 (not highlighted); also, there’s a high probability that price might attempt to travel southward to close-up the “gap” formed as a result of the difference between Friday’s close @ 1.0723 and Today’s open @ 1.0758.
While our bias remains bullish, it’s very much advisable that we avoid going Long on this pair till we have a clearer coast.

On the H4 chart above, we could observe the critical position the bulls have found themselves at the start of a new week: price is yet to break above the most recent swing high @ 1.0794 (that we've highlighted using the blue broken line and the right yellow arrow), which was formed as a result of the bulls’ inability to break above a previous swing high @ 1.0793 (pointed out by the left yellow arrow).
Again, our day trade bias is still “reluctantly” in favor of the bulls.
The green horizontal line @ 1.0684 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, in case of a clearer coast, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows.

Today on USDCHF – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, it’s very obvious that the USDCHF has been in a relatively steep uptrend for almost a month as price continued rallying with only a couple of shallow bearish retracements. It’s been a clear case of higher high, higher low price pattern. Early bullish action today pushed price to a new height. The bullish move was forecasted by yesterday’s price-break above a former, critical resistance level – the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.0642 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line). Following price’s decisive close above the 1.0642 level – with a very strong bull-candle – the bulls went ahead to break the previous day’s high @ 1.0675 (not highlighted): a good sign that the bulls were resolved to push further.
However, price is currently at the upper edge of an upward or bullish channel, which might prove a hurdle for the bulls. Considering the steep nature of price movement, the possibility of an imminent, deeper bearish retracement isn’t farfetched, and that gives more credence to the potential strength of the channel’s upper edge.
In all, our bias remains bullish, but let’s keep the channel’s upper edge in mind.

On the H4 chart above, price broke the most recent swing high @ 1.0606 (which we've highlighted using the blue broken line) upward. That sustained our bias in favor of an upward price move.
The green horizontal line @ 1.0495 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on GBPUSD – Daily and H4 charts support Short trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, we would observe the GBPUSD currency pair has been in a steep downward trend since Wed. 20th January, after hitting the upper edge of an upward or bullish channel. Currently, the bears have reached the lower edge of the channel, which, under normal circumstances, we would expect to act as a strong support area – especially with it coinciding with a strong support level: the most recent Daily swing low @ 1.5849 (which we’ve highlighted using the blue broken line).
However, earlier price action today saw price breaking below the 1.5849 level, and that weakens the notion of the bulls’ momentum being reduced by the lower edge of the bullish channel. Consequently, while keeping in mind possible bullish retracement, our bias, from a day trade perspective, continues to support the bears. Today’s candle close should give us a clearer picture of the direction price might be heading next.

On the H4 chart above, price broke the most recent swing low @ 1.5902 (which we’ve highlighted using the upper blue broken line) downward. That automatically sustained our bias in favor of a downward price move. The 1.5849 support level (that we’ve highlighted using the lower blue broken line), which we discussed on the Daily chart (together with the lower edge of the Daily chart bullish channel) is also seen on the H4 chart. The 1.5849 is a level we would prefer to see price break below decisively to be more convinced of the bears resolve to keep controlling price movement.
The white horizontal line @ 1.6069 highlights the most recent swing high, and as long as price stays below it – in the absence of any new and lower swing high – our bearish or downward bias remains intact.

However, in case we eventually have a clearer coast, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important resistance levels – to seek promising areas to take our Short positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming lower highs and lower lows. Please note that our aim is to sell a rally in today’s down-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.

Today on EURUSD – Daily and H4 charts support Long trades, but…

On the Daily chart above, as expected yesterday, the bulls took control of activities on the EURUSD pair in what we project to be just a bullish retracement in strong, longer term downward trend. We also discussed that, in case the bulls moved as anticipated, we expect the first critical resistance around the most recent Daily swing low @ 1.4028 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line). Currently, price is around this 1.4028 level, hence we won’t be surprised to see the bulls’ move stalled. From a day-trade perspective, our bias remains bullish, but we need to be conscious of current price position – especially since the longer term trend supports the bears.
In case the bulls eventually break decisively above the 1.4028 level, the next critical resistance is expected around the most recent Daily swing high @ 1.4193 (which we've highlighted using the upper blue broken line). In all, with caution, our aim is to seek Hourly Long trade setups – supported by the H4 chart.

On the H4 chart above, yesterday, price broke the most recent swing high @ 1.3938 (which we've highlighted using the lower blue broken line) upward. That shifted our bias in favor of an upward price move. As discussed yesterday, another bullish sign supporting our daily bullish bias is the positive MACD Divergence observed on the H4 chart.
However, as mentioned on the Daily chart, the bigger picture shows a strong downtrend, and price is currently around a critical resistance level – the most recent Daily swing low @ 1.4028 (which we've highlighted on the H4 chart using the upper blue broken line). Again, this means the bears might attempt to resume their actions around this level – in case the currency pair is experiencing a shallow bullish retracement.
Altogether, for now, our bias remains bullish. The green horizontal line @ 1.3885 highlights the most recent swing low, and as long as price stays above it - in the absence of any new and higher swing low - our bullish or upward bias remains intact.

However, we still need our Hourly charts – using Fibonacci retracement levels and important support levels – to seek promising areas to take our Long positions. Price pattern on the Hourly must also be forming higher highs and higher lows. Please note that our aim is to buy a dip in today's up-trend.

Also, PATIENCE is the key here: we need to patiently wait for the Hourly retracement. It might happen, and it might not.