

Also, if price breaks above 1.3985 before retracing to the buy-area, we’ll have to redraw our Fibonacci tools using a new top & the most recent hourly swing low to determine new potential areas to buy.

This chart is rather cluttered but if we look closely, there are a couple of potential reversal levels available. You choose your preferred level based on your personality.
fib 61.8% ret. @ 1.3907;
fib 78.6% ret. @ 1.3885.
Initial Stop Loss @ 1.3856; primary Profit target @ 1.4018 (Please remember to factor in your broker’s pip-spread).
Please note that all these Fibonacci (fib.) levels have other pivots, overlapping fibs or previous highs/lows supporting them (they are the cause of this cluttered chart). As such, price could reverse at any of the points. The issue here is that the deeper the fib level you choose to buy from, the smaller the pips you’ll risk and the more your pip-profit; BUT, also the more the likelihood of you missing the trade as price might not retrace that deep before moving back upward.
You need your own discretion here.
Please keep your risk low. Don’t risk more than 2% of your capital. Personally, I risk about 0.5% per trade; and each trade has a potential profit target of 1% or more – based on my exit levels.
P.S.:
Similar Short trade and Long trade set-ups are forming on the USDCHF and GBPUSD pairs respectively.
Also, keep in mind the Official Bank Rate at 11:00 GMT – specifically regarding the GBPUSD pair. Be wary of possible price volatility during this period.
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